Tail the Goat.

Risk

1u

Book

Hard Rock Bet

Confidence

Confidence 4 of 5

ctually are. Portland's recent history: They've consistently struggled over the past five seasons, and we questioned whether this roster has genuinely improved enough to challenge OKC. Ja Morant isn't playing: So he isn't changing the matchup tonight. OKC's depth: We talked about how players like Ajay Mitchell can put up 27 points. The Thunder don't need SGA to score 35 to dominate. Blowout potential: If OKC builds a 20–25-point lead, SGA could sit much of the fourth quarter. Our original theory: Thunder control the game, win comfortably, and SGA finishes under 32.5 because he doesn't need maximum minutes. The connection: Thunder ML supports our original game script without needing SGA to

Risk

1u

Book

Hard Rock Bet

Confidence

Confidence 3 of 5

1. Blowout potential: We believe OKC is significantly better than Portland, and the Blazers' record doesn't fully reflect the gap in talent. 2. SGA might not need a full game: If OKC builds a 20-point lead by the fourth quarter, SGA could lose 6–8 minutes of playing time. That's potentially several scoring opportunities gone. 3. OKC doesn't rely exclusively on SGA: We specifically discussed Ajay Mitchell being capable of scoring 27 points. The Thunder have other players who can contribute offensively. 4. Portland's roster: We questioned how much the Blazers have actually improved from previous seasons, especially with Ja Morant unavailable. 5. Thunder ML and SGA under fit together: Our projected outcome is OKC controlling the game, winning comfortably, and SGA not needing to score 33 or more.